Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.021839 0.025449 0.029432 0.034149 0.039575 0.045619 0.052854
2025-11-02 0.015832 0.020345 0.025794 0.032834 0.041671 0.052374 0.066296
2025-11-09 0.012036 0.016849 0.023129 0.031881 0.043713 0.059097 0.080554
2025-11-16 0.009671 0.014601 0.021492 0.031748 0.046534 0.066970 0.097221
2025-11-23 0.007741 0.012521 0.019628 0.030854 0.047995 0.073005 0.112026
2025-11-30 0.006818 0.011720 0.019421 0.032233 0.052801 0.084253 0.135599
2025-12-07 0.005810 0.010579 0.018465 0.032237 0.055399 0.092388 0.155341
2025-12-14 0.004823 0.009277 0.017013 0.031159 0.056017 0.097364 0.170527
2025-12-21 0.004146 0.008394 0.016113 0.030843 0.057792 0.104313 0.189606
2025-12-28 0.003856 0.008174 0.016345 0.032538 0.063244 0.118020 0.221636
2026-01-04 0.003505 0.007769 0.016164 0.033420 0.067285 0.129635 0.251150
2026-01-11 0.003014 0.006990 0.015138 0.032514 0.067816 0.134890 0.269562
2026-01-18 0.002641 0.006406 0.014434 0.032191 0.069510 0.142644 0.293816
2026-01-25 0.002263 0.005746 0.013470 0.031189 0.069709 0.147542 0.313122
2026-02-01 0.001959 0.005198 0.012663 0.030399 0.070231 0.153110 0.334335
2026-02-08 0.001748 0.004836 0.012213 0.030330 0.072272 0.161960 0.363144
2026-02-15 0.001519 0.004383 0.011482 0.029502 0.072514 0.167040 0.384548
2026-02-22 0.001440 0.004310 0.011654 0.030839 0.077849 0.183620 0.432372
2026-03-01 0.001300 0.004045 0.011305 0.030850 0.080072 0.193557 0.466556
2026-03-08 0.001130 0.003660 0.010586 0.029820 0.079649 0.197455 0.487516
2026-03-15 0.001012 0.003405 0.010171 0.029518 0.080982 0.205536 0.518906
2026-03-22 0.000980 0.003407 0.010464 0.031146 0.087410 0.226309 0.582209
2026-03-29 0.000922 0.003313 0.010471 0.031992 0.091906 0.242861 0.636960